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Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 26
2016-10-04 16:57:39| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016 000 WTNT24 KNHC 041457 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 1500 UTC TUE OCT 04 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM DEERFIELD BEACH...FLORIDA TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * HAITI * CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN... GRANMA...AND LAS TUNAS * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA... ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...LONG CAY...AND RAGGED ISLAND * CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...EXUMA...RUM CAY... SAN SALVADOR...AND CAT ISLAND * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND... BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY * DEERFIELD BEACH TO THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI * SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH * LAKE OKEECHOBEE A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 74.3W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 210SE 180SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 74.3W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 74.3W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.3N 74.3W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.0N 74.7W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 24.0N 76.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.6N 77.4W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.5N 79.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...210NE 200SE 110SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 34.0N 78.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 39.5N 72.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 74.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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