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Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 36
2016-10-07 04:56:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 070256 PWSAT4 HURRICANE MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 0300 UTC FRI OCT 07 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 5(15) 1(16) X(16) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 10(21) 2(23) X(23) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 14(27) 6(33) X(33) X(33) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 16(24) 11(35) 2(37) X(37) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 16(23) 14(37) 2(39) X(39) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 18(26) 13(39) 2(41) X(41) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SURF CITY NC 34 X 2( 2) 14(16) 23(39) 11(50) 1(51) X(51) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 3( 3) 16(19) 24(43) 10(53) 2(55) X(55) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 5( 5) 23(28) 26(54) 11(65) 2(67) X(67) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 9(26) X(26) X(26) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FLORENCE SC 34 X 5( 5) 26(31) 15(46) 6(52) 1(53) X(53) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) COLUMBIA SC 34 X 6( 6) 22(28) 9(37) 3(40) X(40) X(40) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LITTLE RIVER 34 X 6( 6) 29(35) 22(57) 8(65) 1(66) X(66) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 6(24) X(24) X(24) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 8( 8) 36(44) 18(62) 7(69) 1(70) X(70) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) 6(29) X(29) X(29) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GEORGETOWN SC 34 1 14(15) 39(54) 17(71) 5(76) 1(77) X(77) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) 15(15) 17(32) 5(37) X(37) X(37) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) CHARLESTON SC 34 2 30(32) 37(69) 9(78) 3(81) X(81) X(81) CHARLESTON SC 50 X 2( 2) 28(30) 14(44) 3(47) X(47) X(47) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 14(14) 10(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 2 45(47) 30(77) 5(82) 2(84) X(84) X(84) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 5( 5) 37(42) 6(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X 1( 1) 18(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) ATLANTA GA 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) AUGUSTA GA 34 1 8( 9) 19(28) 5(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAVANNAH GA 34 3 55(58) 23(81) 3(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) SAVANNAH GA 50 X 11(11) 33(44) 4(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) SAVANNAH GA 64 X 3( 3) 17(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) KINGS BAY GA 34 12 77(89) 5(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) KINGS BAY GA 50 1 54(55) 13(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) KINGS BAY GA 64 X 29(29) 12(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) WAYCROSS GA 34 3 56(59) 13(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) 1(75) WAYCROSS GA 50 X 11(11) 6(17) X(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) WAYCROSS GA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MAYPORT NS FL 34 27 67(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) MAYPORT NS FL 50 2 64(66) 8(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X 41(41) 10(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) JACKSONVILLE 34 17 73(90) 3(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) JACKSONVILLE 50 2 54(56) 9(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) JACKSONVILLE 64 X 25(25) 6(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) GAINESVILLE FL 34 19 55(74) 3(77) 1(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) GAINESVILLE FL 50 2 12(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) DAYTONA BEACH 34 93 6(99) X(99) X(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) DAYTONA BEACH 50 46 41(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) DAYTONA BEACH 64 15 49(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) THE VILLAGES 34 58 22(80) 1(81) 1(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) THE VILLAGES 50 4 14(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) THE VILLAGES 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ORLANDO FL 34 93 2(95) X(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) ORLANDO FL 50 43 10(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) ORLANDO FL 64 9 9(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) COCOA BEACH FL 50 90 2(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) COCOA BEACH FL 64 64 4(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PATRICK AFB 50 90 2(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) PATRICK AFB 64 62 3(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 1(66) X(66) FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FT PIERCE FL 50 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) FT PIERCE FL 64 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) 1(42) X(42) W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) W PALM BEACH 50 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 1(26) W PALM BEACH 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) FT LAUDERDALE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MIAMI FL 34 8 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 2(13) 2(15) MARATHON FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 3( 6) KEY WEST FL 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) NAPLES FL 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) FT MYERS FL 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) 2(11) VENICE FL 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) TAMPA FL 34 12 7(19) 3(22) 1(23) X(23) 1(24) 1(25) TAMPA FL 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 5 20(25) 3(28) 1(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) CEDAR KEY FL 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 2 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) ST MARKS FL 34 2 4( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11) X(11) APALACHICOLA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 850W 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) PANAMA CITY FL 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) COLUMBUS GA 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 5( 8) 5(13) ANDROS 34 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Category:Transportation and Logistics