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Hurricane Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 38
2017-09-25 16:40:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 25 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 251440 PWSAT5 HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152017 1500 UTC MON SEP 25 2017 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) 8(18) X(18) X(18) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) 7(19) 1(20) X(20) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) NORFOLK NAS 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 5(15) 7(22) X(22) X(22) NORFOLK VA 34 X 4( 4) 7(11) 5(16) 7(23) X(23) X(23) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) 6(18) 9(27) X(27) X(27) ELIZABETH CTY 34 1 6( 7) 8(15) 7(22) 8(30) X(30) X(30) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ROCKY MT NC 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) CAPE HATTERAS 34 5 11(16) 18(34) 10(44) 8(52) X(52) X(52) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHERRY PT NC 34 4 5( 9) 8(17) 5(22) 5(27) X(27) X(27) NEW RIVER NC 34 5 8(13) 11(24) 7(31) 6(37) X(37) X(37) MOREHEAD CITY 34 4 7(11) 9(20) 6(26) 5(31) X(31) X(31) SURF CITY NC 34 3 4( 7) 7(14) 3(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21) WILMINGTON NC 34 3 4( 7) 5(12) 3(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) BALD HEAD ISL 34 3 4( 7) 5(12) 2(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) LITTLE RIVER 34 1 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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