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Hurricane Max Public Advisory Number 6
2017-09-14 16:34:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017 ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Max Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162017 1000 AM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017 ...MAX MOVING EASTWARD JUST SOUTH OF ACAPULCO... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED IN THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO AND OAXACA... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.3N 99.9W ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch east of Punta Maldonado to Lagunas de Chacahua. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Punta Maldonado to Lagunas de Chacahua A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * East of Punta Maldonado to Lagunas de Chacahua A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Max was located near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 99.9 West. Max is moving toward the east near 7 mph (11 km/h). An eastward or east-northeastward motion at a similar forward speed is expected through Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Max is forecast to cross the coast of southern Mexico in the hurricane warning area this evening or tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected today before Max reaches the coast this evening or tonight. Weakening is forecast once Max makes landfall, and it is expected to dissipate over the mountains of southern Mexico by late Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Max is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches in the Mexican state of Guerrero and western portions of the state of Oaxaca. Maximum amounts locally in excess of 20 inches are possible over coastal areas of Guerrero. These torrential rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely occurring within portions of the hurricane warning area, and hurricane conditions should begin in that area later today. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical storm warning area by this evening, with hurricane conditions possible tonight. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg NNNN
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