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Hurricane Milton Public Advisory Number 21
2024-10-10 10:41:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 000 WTNT34 KNHC 100841 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Milton Advisory Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 500 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 ...MILTON MOVING OFF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST... ...STILL PRODUCING DAMAGING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL IN EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.5N 80.5W ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NE OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM NW OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All Hurricane and Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued for the west coast of Florida. The Tropical Storm Warning for all of the Florida Keys and from the Palm Beach-Broward County Line southward have been discontinued. The Hurricane Watch for Martin County and Lake Okeechobee have been discontinued. The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from Anclote River to Middle of Longboat Key, including Tampa Bay. The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from Bonita Beach to Flamingo. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Florida west coast from Bonita Beach northward to Middle of Longboat Key, including Charlotte Harbor * Sebastian Inlet Florida to Altamaha Sound Georgia, including the St. Johns River A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Florida east coast from the St. Lucie/Martin County Line northward to Ponte Vedra Beach A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Florida east coast south of the St. Lucie/Martin County Line to the Broward/Palm Beach County Line * North of Ponte Vedra Beach Florida to Edisto Beach South Carolina * Extreme northwestern Bahamas, including Grand Bahama Island, the Abacos, and Bimini A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Milton was located near latitude 28.5 North, longitude 80.5 West. Milton is moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn toward the east tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Milton will move away from Florida and to the north of the Bahamas today. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected, but Milton is forecast to become a powerful extratropical low tonight. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). A sustained wind of 75 mph (121 km/h) and a gust to 83 mph (134 km/h) was recently reported at a Weatherstem station in Marineland. A sustained wind of 61 mph (98 km/h) and a gust to 76 mph (122 km/h) was recently reported at a Weatherstem station on South Hutchinson Island. A sustained wind of 60 mph (97 km/h) and a gust of 87 mph (140 km/h) was recently reported at Daytona Beach International Airport. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations is 976 mb (28.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for Milton can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Sebastian Inlet, FL to Altamaha Sound, GA...3-5 ft St. Johns River...2-4 ft Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Bonita Beach, FL...2-4 ft Charlotte Harbor...2-4 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the south of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are expected across portions of the east-central to northeast Florida coast through this morning. This rainfall will continue to bring the risk of considerable flash and urban flooding, along with moderate to major river flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Hurricane Milton, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero. WIND: Hurricane conditions are occurring within the hurricane warning area in Florida. Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the tropical storm warning areas in Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and the Bahamas. SURF: Swells generated by Milton are expected to continue to affect portions of the southeast U.S. and the Bahamas during the next couple of days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Mahoney
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Milton Forecast Advisory Number 21
2024-10-10 10:40:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 000 WTNT24 KNHC 100840 TCMAT4 HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 0900 UTC THU OCT 10 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 80.5W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT.......180NE 170SE 110SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 480SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 80.5W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N 81.3W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.3N 78.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 170SE 120SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 29.6N 74.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...240NE 150SE 150SW 220NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.6N 70.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 150SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.7N 67.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...155NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 29.9N 63.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.6N 60.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 80.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 10/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Hurricane Milton (AT4/AL142024)
2024-10-10 09:56:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...MILTON MOVING OFF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST... ...STILL PRODUCING DAMAGING HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL IN EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA... As of 5:00 AM EDT Thu Oct 10 the center of Milton was located near 28.5, -80.5 with movement NE at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 976 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics