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Hurricane Nora Forecast Advisory Number 11
2021-08-28 10:58:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 280858 TCMEP4 HURRICANE NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN BLAS MEXICO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN MEXICO...AND HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO SAN BLAS MEXICO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LAZARO CARDENAS TO SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO * NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TECPAN DE GALEANA TO MANZANILLO MEXICO * NORTH SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN MEXICO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FURTHER UP ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NORA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 105.2W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT.......180NE 150SE 120SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 360SE 180SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 105.2W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 105.0W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.8N 105.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.8N 106.1W...NEAR MAINLAND MEXICO MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.4N 107.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.3N 107.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.1N 108.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 24.9N 109.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 26.4N 110.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 28.7N 111.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 105.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 28/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/BEVEN
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