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Hurricane Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

2021-08-28 16:50:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 281450 PWSEP4 HURRICANE NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 3 4( 7) 15(22) 12(34) 8(42) 2(44) X(44) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) SAN JOSE CABO 34 3 6( 9) 18(27) 14(41) 8(49) 1(50) X(50) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 18(26) 3(29) 1(30) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) LORETO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 8(17) 3(20) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 9(16) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 9(16) 7(23) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 9(12) 6(18) 3(21) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 19(27) 3(30) 1(31) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CULIACAN 34 1 4( 5) 18(23) 15(38) 5(43) X(43) 1(44) CULIACAN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 34 63 35(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) ISLAS MARIAS 50 3 78(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 43(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) MAZATLAN 34 6 59(65) 21(86) 2(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) MAZATLAN 50 X 11(11) 28(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) MAZATLAN 64 X 2( 2) 9(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) SAN BLAS 34 58 34(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) SAN BLAS 50 1 16(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) SAN BLAS 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P VALLARTA 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) P VALLARTA 50 23 22(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) P VALLARTA 64 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 105W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 28 X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) MANZANILLO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MANZANILLO 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ZIHUATANEJO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 3 4( 7) 3(10) 2(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) $$ FORECASTER BERG

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