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Hurricane Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16
2021-08-29 16:45:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 291445 PWSEP4 HURRICANE NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN JOSE CABO 34 3 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) LA PAZ 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LORETO 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 7(10) 2(12) X(12) HUATABAMPO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 8(13) 1(14) X(14) LOS MOCHIS 34 3 2( 5) 8(13) 6(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CULIACAN 34 41 12(53) 3(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) CULIACAN 50 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MAZATLAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAZATLAN 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAZATLAN 64 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SAN BLAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER REINHART
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