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Hurricane Norman Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2018-08-31 16:38:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 31 2018 556 FOPZ11 KNHC 311437 PWSEP1 HURRICANE NORMAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162018 1500 UTC FRI AUG 31 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 120W 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 125W 34 1 28(29) 41(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) 15N 125W 50 X 2( 2) 17(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 125W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 12(36) X(36) X(36) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 16(23) 1(24) X(24) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 18(55) X(55) 20N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 11(21) X(21) 20N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 46(47) 10(57) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 6(23) 20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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