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Hurricane OLAF Forecast Advisory Number 14

2015-10-18 10:50:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 180850 TCMEP4 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 0900 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 131.9W AT 18/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 120SE 90SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 45SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 131.9W AT 18/0900Z AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 131.4W FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 9.6N 133.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 10.0N 135.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 10.6N 136.9W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 11.3N 138.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 13.3N 141.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 15.0N 143.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 17.5N 143.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.4N 131.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE

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