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Hurricane OLAF Forecast Advisory Number 16
2015-10-18 22:38:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 182038 TCMEP4 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 2100 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 134.3W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 50SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 134.3W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 133.9W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 9.9N 135.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 10.3N 137.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 11.0N 139.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.8N 140.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.7N 143.4W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 16.0N 145.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 18.0N 145.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.7N 134.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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