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Hurricane OLAF Forecast Advisory Number 17

2015-10-19 04:40:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON OCT 19 2015 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 190240 TCMEP4 HURRICANE OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 0300 UTC MON OCT 19 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 135.4W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 60SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 135.4W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.6N 135.0W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 9.9N 136.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 10.3N 138.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 11.0N 140.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 25SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 11.9N 141.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 13.7N 144.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 16.1N 145.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 18.2N 145.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.7N 135.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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