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Hurricane OLAF Wind Speed Probabilities Number 20
2015-10-19 22:32:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 19 2015 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 192032 PWSEP4 HURRICANE OLAF WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192015 2100 UTC MON OCT 19 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 13(26) 5(31) 2(33) X(33) 10N 145W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) 10N 145W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 35(60) 6(66) 1(67) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 24(30) 4(34) 1(35) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 4(21) X(21) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 7(25) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 12(21) 4(25) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 8(20) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 25N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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