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Hurricane Otis Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25

2017-09-17 22:51:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 172050 PWSEP5 HURRICANE OTIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152017 2100 UTC SUN SEP 17 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 125W 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 15N 130W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) 20N 130W 34 1 3( 4) 11(15) 13(28) 8(36) X(36) X(36) 20N 130W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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