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Hurricane Pamela Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2021-10-12 16:42:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 121442 PWSEP1 HURRICANE PAMELA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162021 1500 UTC TUE OCT 12 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAMELA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LOS MOCHIS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CULIACAN 34 X 39(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) CULIACAN 50 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 34 13 14(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) MAZATLAN 34 3 90(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) MAZATLAN 50 X 48(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) MAZATLAN 64 X 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAN BLAS 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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