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Hurricane SIMON Forecast Advisory Number 10

2014-10-04 04:40:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 04 2014 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 040240 TCMEP4 HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 0300 UTC SAT OCT 04 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 111.6W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 111.6W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 111.1W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 113.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.8N 115.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.8N 116.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.5N 117.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.9N 116.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 25.0N 116.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 26.0N 115.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 111.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA

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