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Hurricane SIMON Public Advisory Number 10
2014-10-04 04:41:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 800 PM PDT FRI OCT 03 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 040240 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 800 PM PDT FRI OCT 03 2014 ...SIMON BECOMES THE 13TH HURRICANE OF THE 2014 EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON... SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.2N 111.6W ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM NW OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 280 MI...445 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SIMON MOVED VERY CLOSE TO SOCORRO ISLAND ...MEXICO A FEW HOURS AGO...AND AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC..IS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST. SIMON IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY. SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN THEREAFTER. SIMON IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATIC WEATHER STATION ON SOCORRO ISLAND REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH...80 KM/HR AND A GUST TO 69 MPH...112 KM/HR A FEW HOURS AGO WHEN SIMON PASSED NEAR THAT ISLAND. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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