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Hurricane SIMON Public Advisory Number 11
2014-10-04 10:49:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT SAT OCT 04 2014 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 040849 TCPEP4 BULLETIN HURRICANE SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 200 AM PDT SAT OCT 04 2014 ...SIMON STRENGTHENING WHILE IT MOVES AWAY FROM SOCORRO ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 112.7W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM WNW OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SIMON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.7 WEST. SIMON IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY SUNDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND SIMON COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY SUNDAY MORNING. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE SUNDAY OR MONDAY. A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE SIMON LATER TODAY. SIMON IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 15 INCHES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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