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Hurricane Sally Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2020-09-14 18:31:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1630 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 141630 PWSAT4 HURRICANE SALLY SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192020 1630 UTC MON SEP 14 2020 AT 1630Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SALLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) GAINESVILLE FL 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) THE VILLAGES 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) VENICE FL 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TAMPA FL 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CEDAR KEY FL 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) 2(12) 2(14) X(14) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 5 3( 8) 3(11) 5(16) 3(19) 1(20) X(20) ST MARKS FL 34 5 3( 8) 3(11) 4(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) APALACHICOLA 34 37 5(42) 3(45) 5(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) APALACHICOLA 50 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GFMX 290N 850W 34 47 4(51) 2(53) 3(56) 2(58) X(58) X(58) GFMX 290N 850W 50 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PANAMA CITY FL 34 59 4(63) 3(66) 4(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) PANAMA CITY FL 50 4 2( 6) 1( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 54 5(59) 4(63) 8(71) 2(73) X(73) X(73) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 4 2( 6) 3( 9) 3(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 4 3( 7) 3(10) 8(18) 4(22) 2(24) X(24) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 3 4( 7) 3(10) 12(22) 5(27) 1(28) X(28) BIRMINGHAM AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTGOMERY AL 34 4 5( 9) 5(14) 20(34) 6(40) 2(42) X(42) MONTGOMERY AL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WHITING FLD FL 34 48 11(59) 7(66) 11(77) 2(79) X(79) X(79) WHITING FLD FL 50 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 9(18) 3(21) 1(22) X(22) WHITING FLD FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PENSACOLA FL 34 67 8(75) 4(79) 6(85) 2(87) X(87) X(87) PENSACOLA FL 50 6 6(12) 4(16) 10(26) 3(29) X(29) X(29) PENSACOLA FL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) GFMX 290N 870W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 290N 870W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 290N 870W 64 64 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) MOBILE AL 34 51 25(76) 9(85) 6(91) 2(93) X(93) X(93) MOBILE AL 50 3 15(18) 17(35) 16(51) 3(54) X(54) X(54) MOBILE AL 64 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 12(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) GULFPORT MS 34 48 34(82) 9(91) 4(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) GULFPORT MS 50 3 30(33) 25(58) 12(70) 2(72) X(72) X(72) GULFPORT MS 64 X 8( 8) 14(22) 10(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) STENNIS MS 34 28 48(76) 13(89) 4(93) 2(95) X(95) X(95) STENNIS MS 50 2 27(29) 24(53) 11(64) 3(67) X(67) X(67) STENNIS MS 64 X 6( 6) 14(20) 8(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) BURAS LA 34 53 35(88) 6(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) BURAS LA 50 5 54(59) 13(72) 5(77) 1(78) X(78) X(78) BURAS LA 64 X 20(20) 14(34) 4(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) GFMX 280N 890W 34 61 22(83) 5(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) GFMX 280N 890W 50 9 18(27) 6(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) GFMX 280N 890W 64 2 7( 9) 3(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) JACKSON MS 34 4 7(11) 9(20) 15(35) 3(38) 1(39) X(39) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 10 51(61) 14(75) 7(82) 1(83) 1(84) X(84) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 1 17(18) 14(32) 7(39) 2(41) X(41) X(41) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 4(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) GFMX 280N 910W 34 7 18(25) 10(35) 4(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) GFMX 280N 910W 50 1 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BATON ROUGE LA 34 5 18(23) 15(38) 9(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MORGAN CITY LA 34 5 20(25) 14(39) 8(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 3 6( 9) 4(13) 4(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) LAFAYETTE LA 34 4 8(12) 8(20) 5(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW IBERIA LA 34 4 10(14) 8(22) 5(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 930W 34 4 6(10) 3(13) 2(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FORT POLK LA 34 1 6( 7) 3(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) LAKE CHARLES 34 2 5( 7) 3(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) CAMERON LA 34 3 8(11) 3(14) 2(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) JASPER TX 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) KOUNTZE TX 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GALVESTON TX 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PENSACOLA NAS 34 82 6(88) 2(90) 3(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) PENSACOLA NAS 50 13 13(26) 6(32) 7(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) PENSACOLA NAS 64 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 5(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) KEESLER AB 34 72 19(91) 4(95) 2(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) KEESLER AB 50 6 35(41) 23(64) 11(75) 2(77) X(77) X(77) KEESLER AB 64 1 14(15) 19(34) 13(47) 3(50) X(50) X(50) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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