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Hurricane Sally Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21
2020-09-16 10:54:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 16 2020 000 FONT14 KNHC 160854 PWSAT4 HURRICANE SALLY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192020 0900 UTC WED SEP 16 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SALLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13) X(13) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 12(15) X(15) X(15) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ATLANTA GA 34 1 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) SAVANNAH GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) KINGS BAY GA 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WAYCROSS GA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) JACKSONVILLE 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GAINESVILLE FL 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) THE VILLAGES 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CEDAR KEY FL 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 4 5( 9) 2(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) ST MARKS FL 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) APALACHICOLA 34 12 3(15) X(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) GFMX 290N 850W 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PANAMA CITY FL 34 53 4(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) PANAMA CITY FL 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) DESTIN EXEC AP 50 44 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) DESTIN EXEC AP 64 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) COLUMBUS GA 34 3 9(12) 13(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) COLUMBUS GA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MONTGOMERY AL 34 24 18(42) 1(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) MONTGOMERY AL 50 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) WHITING FLD FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WHITING FLD FL 50 96 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) WHITING FLD FL 64 58 3(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) PENSACOLA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PENSACOLA FL 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PENSACOLA FL 64 67 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) GFMX 290N 870W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOBILE AL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOBILE AL 50 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) GULFPORT MS 34 16 1(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) STENNIS MS 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BURAS LA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PENSACOLA NAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PENSACOLA NAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PENSACOLA NAS 64 93 X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) KEESLER AB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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