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Hurricane Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 15
2018-10-03 04:36:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC WED OCT 03 2018 504 WTPZ21 KNHC 030236 TCMEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0300 UTC WED OCT 03 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 115.8W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT.......110NE 130SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 180SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N 115.8W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 115.4W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 12.5N 117.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.6N 118.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.6N 119.8W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 100SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.5N 121.1W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.4N 123.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 110SE 90SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 16.5N 126.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 16.8N 129.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N 115.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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