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Hurricane Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 21
2018-10-04 16:40:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 04 2018 490 WTPZ21 KNHC 041440 TCMEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 1500 UTC THU OCT 04 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 119.3W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 130SE 130SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 330SE 270SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 119.3W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 119.0W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.6N 120.2W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.0N 121.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 110SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.0N 122.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.7N 124.1W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.6N 126.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 110SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 16.3N 128.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 17.9N 127.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 119.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ONDERLINDE/CANGIALOSI
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