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Hurricane Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 23

2018-10-05 04:31:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI OCT 05 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 050231 TCMEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 0300 UTC FRI OCT 05 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 120.5W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 951 MB EYE DIAMETER 35 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 130SE 130SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..450NE 360SE 300SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 120.5W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 120.2W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.0N 121.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 70SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.9N 122.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 65NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.6N 123.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.5N 125.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.0N 127.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 120SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 17.5N 127.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 19.5N 124.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 120.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN

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