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Hurricane Sergio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2018-10-02 22:31:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 02 2018 342 FOPZ11 KNHC 022031 PWSEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 2100 UTC TUE OCT 02 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 115W 34 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) 15N 115W 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 10N 120W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 120W 34 1 3( 4) 64(68) 29(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) 21(21) 56(77) 4(81) X(81) X(81) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 50(56) 5(61) X(61) X(61) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 31(55) 4(59) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 3(23) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) 20N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 4(23) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 20N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 20(26) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 20N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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