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Hurricane Sergio Wind Speed Probabilities Number 38
2018-10-08 22:39:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON OCT 08 2018 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 082039 PWSEP1 HURRICANE SERGIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 2100 UTC MON OCT 08 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SERGIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) X(16) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) 1(31) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 5(19) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 5(20) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 35(39) X(39) 25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) 25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 20N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 50(56) X(56) X(56) 20N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) X(21) X(21) 20N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) 15N 125W 34 4 8(12) 7(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 20N 125W 34 1 4( 5) 11(16) 16(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) 20N 125W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 130W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 130W 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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