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Post-Tropical Cyclone Carlotta Public Advisory Number 18
2018-06-19 04:31:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 190231 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Carlotta Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042018 1000 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018 ...CARLOTTA DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW BUT STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 103.6W ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM W OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Carlotta was located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 103.6 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue tonight into Tuesday morning. On the forecast track, the center will be near or over the southwest coast of Mexico tonight and Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is forecast, and Carlotta is expected to dissipate on Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall along the Guerrero, Michoacan and Colima coasts, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible. These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain. Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Carlotta. For additional information on the remnant low, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at http://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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