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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 26
2016-09-03 22:56:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 03 2016 000 FONT14 KNHC 032056 PWSAT4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 2100 UTC SAT SEP 03 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 9(17) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 6(15) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 4(14) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 7(15) 4(19) PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 8(22) 3(25) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 9(16) 9(25) 4(29) PORTSMOUTH NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) WORCESTER MA 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 7(18) 12(30) 7(37) 3(40) WORCESTER MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 8(20) 12(32) 7(39) 3(42) SPRINGFIELD MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) BOSTON MA 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 7(16) 11(27) 8(35) 4(39) BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) HYANNIS MA 34 1 5( 6) 12(18) 8(26) 12(38) 9(47) 4(51) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 3(14) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 2 9(11) 13(24) 8(32) 12(44) 8(52) 5(57) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) 3(15) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 1 5( 6) 13(19) 8(27) 13(40) 8(48) 3(51) PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) 2(12) PROVIDENCE RI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 2 6( 8) 14(22) 12(34) 13(47) 6(53) 3(56) BRIDGEPORT CT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) X(12) BRIDGEPORT CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) NEW HAVEN CT 34 2 6( 8) 13(21) 11(32) 14(46) 6(52) 3(55) NEW HAVEN CT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 1(11) NEW HAVEN CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) HARTFORD CT 34 1 4( 5) 12(17) 10(27) 12(39) 6(45) 3(48) HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) HARTFORD CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) NEW LONDON CT 34 2 6( 8) 14(22) 11(33) 14(47) 7(54) 2(56) NEW LONDON CT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 2(14) NEW LONDON CT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) ALBANY NY 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 7(17) 5(22) 2(24) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 1 3( 4) 9(13) 9(22) 11(33) 6(39) 2(41) POUGHKEEPSIE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) POUGHKEEPSIE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MONTAUK POINT 34 3 10(13) 16(29) 11(40) 14(54) 6(60) 3(63) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 5(17) 1(18) MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ISLIP NY 34 3 9(12) 18(30) 13(43) 12(55) 5(60) 3(63) ISLIP NY 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 3(16) 2(18) ISLIP NY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 3 8(11) 16(27) 14(41) 12(53) 5(58) 2(60) NYC JFK AIRPRT 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 3(14) X(14) NYC JFK AIRPRT 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 3 6( 9) 15(24) 13(37) 12(49) 6(55) 2(57) NYC CNTRL PARK 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) X(11) NYC CNTRL PARK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 3 6( 9) 14(23) 13(36) 12(48) 6(54) 2(56) NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) NEWARK NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) TRENTON NJ 34 3 6( 9) 13(22) 14(36) 11(47) 4(51) 2(53) TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) X(10) TRENTON NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) NWS EARLE NJ 34 3 10(13) 17(30) 14(44) 13(57) 4(61) 2(63) NWS EARLE NJ 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 7(13) 3(16) 1(17) NWS EARLE NJ 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ALLENTOWN PA 34 2 3( 5) 10(15) 10(25) 10(35) 4(39) 2(41) ALLENTOWN PA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) PHILADELPHIA 34 3 7(10) 14(24) 13(37) 10(47) 4(51) 2(53) PHILADELPHIA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) PHILADELPHIA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) ATLANTIC CITY 34 4 12(16) 19(35) 14(49) 10(59) 5(64) 1(65) ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 9(18) 2(20) X(20) ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) BALTIMORE MD 34 3 3( 6) 8(14) 9(23) 7(30) 3(33) 1(34) BALTIMORE MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 4 8(12) 14(26) 13(39) 10(49) 4(53) X(53) DOVER DE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11) DOVER DE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 3 4( 7) 9(16) 9(25) 8(33) 3(36) 1(37) ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) WASHINGTON DC 34 3 3( 6) 6(12) 8(20) 7(27) 2(29) 1(30) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 5 12(17) 17(34) 14(48) 9(57) 3(60) 1(61) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 2(16) 1(17) CAPE HENLOPEN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 8 13(21) 16(37) 13(50) 9(59) 3(62) 1(63) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 7(14) 1(15) 1(16) OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PAX RIVER NAS 34 3 6( 9) 9(18) 9(27) 9(36) 2(38) 1(39) PAX RIVER NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 7 10(17) 14(31) 12(43) 8(51) 2(53) 1(54) WALLOPS CDA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) WALLOPS CDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 2 X( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 1(13) RICHMOND VA 34 3 3( 6) 6(12) 5(17) 6(23) 1(24) 1(25) DANVILLE VA 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 5 5(10) 9(19) 7(26) 8(34) 2(36) X(36) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) OCEANA NAS VA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) ELIZABETH CTY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) ROCKY MT NC 34 3 1( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 1(13) CAPE HATTERAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) FAYETTEVILLE 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) CHERRY PT NC 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) NEW RIVER NC 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) 3(15) 1(16) 1(17) MOREHEAD CITY 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) SURF CITY NC 34 3 X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) WILMINGTON NC 34 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) BALD HEAD ISL 34 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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