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Potential Tropical Cyclone One Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2024-06-18 04:47:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024 511 FONT11 KNHC 180247 PWSAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012024 0300 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 270N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 18(31) 3(34) X(34) X(34) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Potential Tropical Cyclone One Forecast Advisory Number 2
2024-06-18 04:46:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024 525 WTNT21 KNHC 180246 TCMAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012024 0300 UTC TUE JUN 18 2024 NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM). CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP). POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 93.0W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......250NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 93.0W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 93.0W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.6N 92.8W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...250NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 22.6N 93.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...250NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.2N 95.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...250NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.5N 96.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...250NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.7N 98.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...250NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 23.8N 99.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 93.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 18/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Potential Tropical Cyclone One Graphics
2024-06-18 01:48:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 17 Jun 2024 23:48:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 17 Jun 2024 21:22:50 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics