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Potential Tropical Cyclone THREE Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2017-06-19 22:46:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 19 2017 000 FONT13 KNHC 192046 PWSAT3 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032017 2100 UTC MON JUN 19 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT WHITING FLD FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 290N 870W 34 2 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MOBILE AL 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GULFPORT MS 34 1 5( 6) 3( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) STENNIS MS 34 1 6( 7) 4(11) 2(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) BURAS LA 34 1 18(19) 9(28) 1(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) GFMX 280N 890W 34 16 37(53) 3(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) JACKSON MS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 9(10) 10(20) 3(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 44(45) 14(59) 2(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 6(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 11(11) 15(26) 7(33) 4(37) 1(38) X(38) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 11(19) 1(20) X(20) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 10(24) 7(31) 1(32) X(32) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 6( 6) 12(18) 10(28) 6(34) 1(35) X(35) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 7( 7) 14(21) 7(28) 4(32) 1(33) X(33) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 10(12) 1(13) X(13) FORT POLK LA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 12(21) 1(22) X(22) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 9(17) 11(28) 1(29) X(29) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAMERON LA 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 11(21) 10(31) 1(32) X(32) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) JASPER TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 12(20) 1(21) X(21) KOUNTZE TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 11(20) 1(21) X(21) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 11(25) 1(26) X(26) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GALVESTON TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 7(16) 1(17) X(17) HOUSTON TX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 1(12) X(12) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 8(13) 8(21) 1(22) X(22) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MATAGORDA TX 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) ROCKPORT TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN
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