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Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2017-08-28 10:55:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON AUG 28 2017 000 FONT15 KNHC 280855 PWSAT5 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102017 0900 UTC MON AUG 28 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 2(15) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 13(26) X(26) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) X(15) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 23(23) 12(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 21(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) 26(27) 4(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 4(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SURF CITY NC 34 X 3( 3) 19(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) WILMINGTON NC 34 X 4( 4) 16(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 8( 8) 17(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) FLORENCE SC 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LITTLE RIVER 34 X 9( 9) 10(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 11(11) 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) GEORGETOWN SC 34 1 14(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) CHARLESTON SC 34 1 13(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 3 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SAVANNAH GA 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) KINGS BAY GA 34 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) WAYCROSS GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) JACKSONVILLE 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
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