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Potential Tropical Cyclone Three Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2021-06-17 22:34:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU JUN 17 2021 638 FONT13 KNHC 172033 PWSAT3 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032021 2100 UTC THU JUN 17 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X 5( 5) 23(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) 10(10) 16(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 10(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 6( 6) 17(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAMERON LA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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