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Remnants of SIXTEEN-E Public Advisory Number 5
2015-09-21 22:39:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 300 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2015 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 212038 TCPEP1 BULLETIN REMNANTS OF SIXTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162015 300 PM MDT MON SEP 21 2015 ...SIXTEEN-E DISSIPATES OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE IN ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.7N 111.7W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM W OF CABORCA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in northwestern mainland Mexico, Arizona and New Mexico should monitor the progress of the remnants of Sixteen-E. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the remnants of Sixteen-E were located near latitude 30.7 North, longitude 111.7 West. The remnants are moving toward the north-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h). The system is expected to continue on a north-northeastward track through Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast through Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The remnants of Sixteen-E are expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches across the northern Baja California peninsula and the northwestern Mexican state of Sonora. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible in Baja California and Sonora, Mexico. Two to four inches of rain is expected in Arizona and New Mexico. Isolated amounts of 6 inches are possible in Arizona and New Mexico. One to two inches of rain is expected over portions of southern California through Tuesday. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in mountainous areas. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future information on the remnants of Tropical Depression Sixteen-E can be found in public advisories issued by the NOAA Weather Prediction Center beginning at 8 p.m. PDT under AWIPS header TCPEP1 and WMO header WTPZ31 KWNH and on the web at http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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