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Subtropical Storm Patty Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2024-11-02 15:36:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 021435 PWSAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172024 1500 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 46 X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) PONTA DELGADA 34 2 54(56) 12(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) PONTA DELGADA 50 X 11(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PONTA DELGADA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Subtropical Storm Patty Public Advisory Number 2
2024-11-02 15:35:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 300 PM GMT Sat Nov 02 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 021434 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Patty Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024 300 PM GMT Sat Nov 02 2024 ...PATTY STRENGTHENS... ...EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO THE AZORES TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.0N 32.4W ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM WNW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 130 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * All of the Azores A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Patty was located near latitude 39.0 North, longitude 32.4 West. The storm is moving toward the southeast near 13 mph (20 km/h). A faster eastward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Patty is expected to move near or just south of the Azores tonight and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days. Patty is forecast to become a post-tropical low by Sunday night. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Azores tonight and Sunday. For more information, see products issued by the meteorological service in the Azores. RAINFALL: Patty is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches, or 25 to 50 millimeters, across the Azores through Sunday. SURF: Swells generated by Patty will affect the Azores over the next day or two. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 PM GMT. Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Tropical Storm Lane (EP3/EP132024)
2024-11-02 15:35:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...LANE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE... As of 8:00 AM PDT Sat Nov 2 the center of Lane was located near 11.3, -130.1 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics