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Summary for Hurricane Beryl (AT2/AL022024)
2024-07-04 10:54:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...WEATHER DETERIORATING IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS WITH STRONG WINDS, DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, AND DAMAGING WAVES EXPECTED THERE LATER THIS MORNING... As of 5:00 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 the center of Beryl was located near 18.5, -81.0 with movement WNW at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 968 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 120 mph.
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Beryl Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23
2024-07-04 10:54:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 04 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 040854 PWSAT2 HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0900 UTC THU JUL 04 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ROCKPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) 5(25) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 4(19) BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 17(40) 3(43) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12) GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 2(17) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) MERIDA MX 34 X 2( 2) 25(27) 13(40) 1(41) X(41) X(41) MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COZUMEL MX 34 2 78(80) 6(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) COZUMEL MX 50 X 29(29) 11(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) COZUMEL MX 64 X 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BELIZE CITY 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUANAJA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 3 12(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ISLE OF PINES 34 8 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) CIENFUEGOS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND CAYMAN 50 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) GRAND CAYMAN 64 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 23
2024-07-04 10:53:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 04 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 040853 TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0900 UTC THU JUL 04 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 81.0W AT 04/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 968 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 15SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 80SE 50SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 60SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 81.0W AT 04/0900Z AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 80.1W FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.0N 83.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 15SE 10SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.5N 86.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.3N 89.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.2N 91.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.3N 93.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.3N 95.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 25.2N 97.6W...NEAR COAST MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 27.0N 99.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 81.0W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 04/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Category: Transportation and Logistics