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Summary for Tropical Storm Leslie (AT3/AL132024)
2024-10-03 04:36:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LESLIE FORMS OVER THE TROPICAL EASTERN ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS... As of 11:00 PM AST Wed Oct 2 the center of Leslie was located near 10.4, -30.1 with movement W at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Kirk Forecast Discussion Number 14
2024-10-03 02:36:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM AST Wed Oct 02 2024 091 WTNT42 KNHC 030036 TCDAT2 Hurricane Kirk Special Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024 800 PM AST Wed Oct 02 2024 Kirk is undergoing rapid intensification this evening. Geostationary satellite imagery has shown an eye clearing and Dvorak estimates are rising as quickly as they are allowed. The initial intensity is set to a possibly conservative 105 kt, closest to the final-T number (T5.5) from TAFB. The intensity forecast has been increased between 12 through 48 h. No changes were made to the intensity forecast beyond 60 h, or the track and wind radii predictions. The next forecast will be released at the normally scheduled time (11 PM AST). FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/0000Z 19.3N 44.3W 105 KT 120 MPH 12H 03/0600Z 19.9N 45.1W 120 KT 140 MPH 24H 03/1800Z 21.1N 46.6W 125 KT 145 MPH 36H 04/0600Z 22.4N 48.1W 125 KT 145 MPH 48H 04/1800Z 23.8N 49.5W 115 KT 130 MPH 60H 05/0600Z 25.7N 50.5W 110 KT 125 MPH 72H 05/1800Z 28.5N 50.6W 105 KT 120 MPH 96H 06/1800Z 35.1N 47.9W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 07/1800Z 42.5N 38.0W 80 KT 90 MPH $$ Forecaster Bucci/Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Kirk Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
2024-10-03 02:35:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0000 UTC THU OCT 03 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 030035 PWSAT2 HURRICANE KIRK SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 0000 UTC THU OCT 03 2024 AT 0000Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) $$ FORECASTER BUCCI/CANGIALOSI
Category: Transportation and Logistics