je.st
news
Tropical Depression Aletta Graphics
2024-07-05 16:49:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 05 Jul 2024 14:49:07 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 05 Jul 2024 14:49:07 GMT
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Hurricane Beryl Public Advisory Number 28
2024-07-05 16:49:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Fri Jul 05 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 051448 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number 28 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 1000 AM CDT Fri Jul 05 2024 ...BERYL WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA... ...DANGEROUS HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, STORM SURGE, AND DAMAGING WAVES EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THIS AREA FOR A FEW MORE HOURS... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.7N 88.3W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF PROGRESO MEXICO ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM ESE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Meteorological Service of Mexico has discontinued all watches and warnings for the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula south of Punta Allen. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico from Puerto Allen to Cancun, including Cozumel A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico north of Cancun to Cabo Catoche A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico north of Cancun to Campeche A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. Interests in northeastern Mexico and the lower and middle Texas coast should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches will likely be issued for that region later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 88.3 West. Beryl is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A west- northwestward motion is expected during the next day or so, with the center expected to cross the northern Yucatan Peninsula today. Beryl is expected to emerge over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico tonight and then move northwestward toward northeastern Mexico and southern Texas by the end of the weekend. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued rapid weakening is expected as Beryl moves farther inland and crosses the Yucatan Peninsula today, but slow re-intensification is expected once Beryl moves back over the Gulf of Mexico. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC, and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml. WIND: Hurricane conditions are occurring in the hurricane warning area on the Yucatan Peninsula and will continue for a few more hours. Tropical storm conditions are occurring elsewhere in the hurricane warning area. Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area along the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula for a few more hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area of the Yucatan Caribbean coast this morning and over the Yucatan Gulf coast later today. STORM SURGE: Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level in areas of onshore winds along the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula within the hurricane warning area and by as much as 1 to 3 feet above ground level along the west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula in the tropical storm warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Through today Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches, with localized amounts of 10 inches, across the Yucatan Peninsula, with scattered instances of flash flooding anticipated. Heavy rainfall of 4 to 8 inches with locally higher amounts is expected across portions of northeastern Mexico and South Texas by Sunday into the coming week. This rainfall is expected to produce areas of flash and urban flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero SURF: Large swells generated by Beryl are currently impacting portions of the coast of Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and the Yucatan Peninsula. The swells are expected to reach eastern Mexico and much of the Gulf Coast of the U.S. by late today. These swells are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Beryl Wind Speed Probabilities Number 28
2024-07-05 16:49:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 051448 PWSAT2 HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 1500 UTC FRI JUL 05 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 9(15) 2(17) 2(19) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 2(12) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 5(23) 1(24) GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) 1(12) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 7(18) 1(19) SAN ANTONIO TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) 1(14) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 22(31) 4(35) 1(36) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) GFMX 280N 950W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 27(32) 6(38) 2(40) MATAGORDA TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 33(39) 6(45) 2(47) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 5(15) 1(16) PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) ROCKPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 5(33) 1(34) ROCKPORT TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) ROCKPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 8(38) 1(39) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) CORPUS CHRISTI 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 35(56) 3(59) 1(60) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 2(23) 1(24) GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 4(37) X(37) MCALLEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) MCALLEN TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 36(43) 4(47) X(47) HARLINGEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) X(13) HARLINGEN TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 35(47) 3(50) 1(51) BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 1(13) 1(14) BROWNSVILLE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 46(60) 19(79) X(79) 1(80) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 16(41) 1(42) X(42) GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 7(14) X(14) 1(15) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) 1(13) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) MERIDA MX 34 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) MERIDA MX 50 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) COZUMEL MX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Category: Transportation and Logistics