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Tropical Depression CARLOS Public Advisory Number 28A
2015-06-17 19:43:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 100 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 171743 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032015 100 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015 ...CARLOS WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION NEAR THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.9N 105.5W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlos was located along the coast of western Mexico near latitude 19.9 North, longitude 105.5 West. Carlos is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue until dissipation occurs on Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Carlos will move near or along the western coast of Mexico today, and move into the southern Gulf of California late tonight or Thursday morning. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Carlos is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low this afternoon or evening and dissipate on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Carlos is expected to produce additional rainfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches across the Mexican states of Jalisco and Colima. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain. During the past 24 hours, an automated observation station at Chamelaciuxmala, Mexico, reported 1.54 inches (39 mm) of rainfall. SURF: Swells associated with Carlos will continue to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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