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Tropical Depression Carlotta Public Advisory Number 14
2018-06-18 04:37:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 PM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 180237 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Carlotta Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042018 1000 PM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018 ...CARLOTTA EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY MONDAY MORNING JUST SOUTH OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS AND MUDSLIDES STILL POSSIBLE... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 102.2W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM S OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlotta was located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 102.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center will be moving parallel to but just offshore of the coast of Mexico through Monday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Carlotta is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Monday morning. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall along the Guerrero, Michoacan and Colima coasts, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible. These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain. Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast. SURF: Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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