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Tropical Depression Carlotta Public Advisory Number 15

2018-06-18 10:36:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 400 AM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 180836 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Carlotta Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042018 400 AM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018 ...CARLOTTA INCHING CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MICHOACAN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.7N 102.6W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlotta was located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 102.6 West. Carlotta is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through the day. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Carlotta is expected to dissipate by tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall along the Guerrero, Michoacan and Colima coasts, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible. These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain. Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast. SURF: Southwesterly swells are affecting the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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