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Tropical Depression Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 12
2020-06-04 16:44:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUN 04 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 041444 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 1500 UTC THU JUN 04 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CAMPECHE TO COATZACOALCOS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. INTERESTS THERE AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CRISTOBAL. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 91.0W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 91.0W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 91.2W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.7N 90.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.0N 90.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.0N 90.3W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.9N 90.7W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 24.7N 90.7W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 26.7N 90.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 60SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 30.8N 91.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 35.0N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 91.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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