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Tropical Depression Cristobal Forecast Advisory Number 15
2020-06-05 10:35:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUN 05 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 050835 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032020 0900 UTC FRI JUN 05 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CRISTOBAL. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH AND A STORM SURGE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 90.1W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 90.1W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 90.2W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.1N 90.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 90.3W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 0SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.8N 90.4W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...230NE 210SE 0SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.7N 90.3W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.6N 90.4W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 29.6N 91.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 34.0N 92.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 40.0N 90.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 90.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
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