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Tropical Depression DOUGLAS Forecast Discussion Number 27
2014-07-05 10:46:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM PDT SAT JUL 05 2014 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 050845 TCDEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014 200 AM PDT SAT JUL 05 2014 Douglas has once again lost its deep convection, likely now for the final time. The small patch of showers and thunderstorms dissipated around 03Z and Dvorak intensity analyses from SAB and TAFB suggest that Douglas has weakened to a tropical depression. With expected continued cool water and a stable atmosphere along its track, the cyclone should become a remnant low shortly. The depression is moving northwestward at 8 kt. A low to mid-level subtropical ridge to its northeast will continue to steer Douglas toward the northwest or west-northwest at a slightly slower speed for the next two days until dissipation. The track forecast is again nudged to the north of the previous advisory and is based upon the multi-model consensus TVCE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0900Z 23.1N 119.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 05/1800Z 23.9N 120.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 06/0600Z 24.9N 121.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/1800Z 25.8N 122.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 07/0600Z 26.5N 124.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Landsea
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