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Tropical Depression Daniel Forecast Discussion Number 8
2018-06-25 22:32:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 000 WTPZ45 KNHC 252032 TCDEP5 Tropical Depression Daniel Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052018 200 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018 Convection associated with Daniel continues to diminish as the cyclone moves over cooler water, and most satellite intensity estimates have dropped below tropical-storm strength. Thus, Daniel is downgraded to a tropical depression. The system should continue to weaken over sea surface temperatures near 23C, and it is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low by 24 h and to dissipate completely between 48-72 h. The initial motion is now 305/7. Daniel should turn more westward during the next 24 h as low-level easterly flow on the south side of the subtropical ridge becomes the main steering mechanism, and this motion should continue through dissipation. The new track forecast is similar to the previous forecast and it is a little north of the center of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/2100Z 19.4N 118.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 26/0600Z 19.8N 119.4W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 26/1800Z 20.0N 121.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 27/0600Z 20.1N 123.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 27/1800Z 20.0N 125.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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