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Tropical Depression EIGHT Forecast Discussion Number 1
2013-09-06 20:35:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 130 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2013 000 WTNT43 KNHC 061835 TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082013 130 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2013 CORRECTED SPELLING OF TAMAULIPAS IN THE LAST PARAGRAPH THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO MOVED MORE SLOWLY THAN ORIGINALLY PREDICTED...AND THIS ALLOWED MORE TIME FOR THE SYSTEM TO BECOME ORGANIZED BEFORE REACHING THE COAST OF MEXICO. WITH THE INCREASED CONVECTIVE BANDING NOTED TODAY...THE SYSTEM IS NOW CLASSIFYABLE AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. NO ADDITONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CENTER IS NOW MOVING INLAND NEAR TAMPICO MEXICO. FROM THIS TIME...THE CYCLONE SHOULD WEAKEN AND DECAY TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA IN ABOUT 24 HOURS...AND DISSIPATE COMPLETELY BY 36 HR. THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 250/5. A LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION SHOULD STEER IT GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS DEPRESSION IS HEAVY RAINS OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TAMAULIPAS...ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/1830Z 22.3N 97.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 07/0000Z 22.1N 98.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 07/1200Z 21.9N 99.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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