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Tropical Depression EIGHT Forecast Discussion Number 2
2013-09-06 22:33:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2013 000 WTNT43 KNHC 062033 TCDAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082013 400 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2013 THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION MADE LANDFALL IN THE TAMPICO MEXICO AREA AROUND 1800 UTC. WHILE THERE HAVE BEEN NO REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT WINDS FROM THE MEXICAN COASTAL STATIONS...TAMPICO REPORTED A PRESSURE OF NEAR 1009 MB AS THE CENTER PASSED OVER. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT SINCE A LARGE AMOUNT OF THE CIRCULATION IS STILL OVER WATER. NOW THAT THE CENTER IS INLAND... THE CYCLONE SHOULD STEADILY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL IT DISSIPATES COMPLETELY IN 24-36 HOURS. THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 250/5. A LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION SHOULD STEER IT GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE DEPRESSION IS HEAVY RAINS OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TAMAULIPAS...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/2100Z 22.2N 98.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 12H 07/0600Z 21.9N 98.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 07/1800Z 21.5N 100.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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