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Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Forecast Advisory Number 1
2016-09-25 18:50:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1700 UTC SUN SEP 25 2016 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 251650 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182016 1700 UTC SUN SEP 25 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 119.7W AT 25/1700Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 119.7W AT 25/1700Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 119.7W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.2N 119.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.8N 119.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.4N 119.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.5N 118.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 80SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 117.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 23.0N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 24.5N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 119.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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