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Tropical Depression Eight Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2020-07-23 10:39:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU JUL 23 2020 000 FONT13 KNHC 230839 PWSAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082020 0900 UTC THU JUL 23 2020 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 910W 34 3 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) GFMX 280N 930W 34 1 8( 9) 17(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAMERON LA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GALVESTON TX 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 7(15) 3(18) 1(19) X(19) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) X(10) 1(11) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) 1(11) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) 1(15) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 13(27) 3(30) 1(31) X(31) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 950W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 7(26) X(26) 1(27) MATAGORDA TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 9(25) X(25) 1(26) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ROCKPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 1(19) X(19) ROCKPORT TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 2(18) X(18) CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 5(15) 1(16) 1(17) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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