je.st
news
Tropical Depression Eleven-E Public Advisory Number 1A
2024-10-02 01:34:09| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 600 PM CST Tue Oct 01 2024 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 012334 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eleven-E Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112024 600 PM CST Tue Oct 01 2024 ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO PRODUCE FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES IN WESTERN GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 600 PM CST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.3N 94.6W ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Puerto Angel to Boca de Pijijiapan A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Boca de Pijijiapan to the Mexico/Guatemala Border A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere in southeastern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 600 PM CST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven-E was located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 94.6 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion should continue during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the depression is likely to approach the coast of Mexico within the warning area through tonight and move inland on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight, with further intensification possible until landfall. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Eleven-E can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area Wednesday morning and are possible in the watch area on Wednesday afternoon. RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Eleven-E is expected to produce 4 to 8 inches of rainfall, with localized amounts up to 12 inches, across portions of western Guatemala and the Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, Veracruz, and Tabasco. This rainfall may lead to areas of flooding and mudslides. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with this system, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of the coast of southern and southeastern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-02 01:29:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 012329 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Kirk, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: A broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms from the southwestern Caribbean Sea into the southern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form towards the end of the week or over the weekend as the broader disturbance moves fully into the Gulf of Mexico. Interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91): Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-02 01:26:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 012326 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Oct 1 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located near the coast of southeastern Mexico. Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP97): An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While environmental conditions are generally conducive for development, the close proximity of Tropical Depression Eleven-E could limit development during the next day or two. Late this week, the system is forecast to begin moving slowly west-northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico, and gradual development seems likely. This system is expected to contribute to heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico that were already adversely affected by substantial rainfall last week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Category: Transportation and Logistics