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Tropical Depression FIFTEEN-E Public Advisory Number 1A
2016-09-05 01:52:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 700 PM CDT SUN SEP 04 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 042352 TCPEP5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 700 PM CDT SUN SEP 04 2016 ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.5N 105.4W ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cabo San Lazaro to San Evaristo, including Cabo San Lucas A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued within 48 hours of the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen-E was located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 105.4 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 4 mph (6 km/h). A faster northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to approach the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula late Monday night or Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next couple of days. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight, and could be near hurricane strength on Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by Tuesday. RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches for coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacan, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa, as well as the state of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches through Tuesday. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. SURF: Swells generated by the depression are expected to increase near the coast of southwestern Mexico and the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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