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Tropical Depression Fifteen Forecast Advisory Number 1
2018-10-09 11:51:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1000 UTC TUE OCT 09 2018 000 WTNT25 KNHC 090951 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152018 1000 UTC TUE OCT 09 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 29.7W AT 09/1000Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 29.7W AT 09/1000Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.9N 29.4W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 10.6N 30.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 11.3N 32.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 12.4N 33.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 13.6N 34.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.1N 36.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 17.5N 39.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 29.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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